Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.319195 1.628332 2.032688 2.619403 3.484734 4.781086 7.026277
2025-03-30 0.929290 1.261828 1.768436 2.663427 4.390333 8.161180 20.091504
2025-04-06 0.717021 1.028080 1.547095 2.590122 5.048301 12.597329 65.783551
2025-04-13 0.591777 0.881014 1.395870 2.536689 5.715531 19.479601 438.528617
2025-04-20 0.536198 0.830668 1.392979 2.787223 7.597770 43.984616 NaN
2025-04-27 0.485043 0.774008 1.356181 2.936809 9.548207 110.660309 NaN
2025-05-04 0.434521 0.707216 1.276962 2.926607 10.940742 288.224468 NaN
2025-05-11 0.387672 0.638969 1.176495 2.800912 11.581788 761.316587 NaN
2025-05-18 0.359704 0.603366 1.142095 2.874340 13.935464 49397.089483 NaN
2025-05-25 0.340095 0.581345 1.134360 3.041895 18.048308 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.316672 0.547769 1.089826 3.047862 20.964060 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.291607 0.507508 1.020003 2.917041 21.820226 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.278855 0.492915 1.016822 3.084601 29.394245 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.263102 0.469800 0.985980 3.113863 35.721919 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.245772 0.441218 0.934573 3.017052 38.618121 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.231132 0.417272 0.892478 2.949547 42.755887 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.226733 0.416288 0.917068 3.262076 74.267654 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.219582 0.407985 0.918063 3.450146 119.617537 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.209313 0.391174 0.889516 3.437273 153.292851 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.197487 0.369606 0.842672 3.279188 156.631100 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.190804 0.359963 0.832724 3.371447 249.255690 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.186298 0.355204 0.837907 3.582894 592.375873 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.179226 0.343426 0.817663 3.590448 1015.215549 NaN NaN